This morning I posted a blog entry that discussed the odds of various EPL team's qualifying for Europe. I spent much of the post providing statistics on PPM streaks, odds of finishing in various table positions, and even R-squared values to communicate the relative consistency of slumping clubs. In all, the statistics provided a quantification of some of the qualitative observations some have already made elsewhere in the media. I felt I added value to the conversation because quantitative information doesn't just tell us how poorly or how well a club is playing, but it also allows us to make relative comparisons between clubs and within clubs throughout the whole season. As an example, that's why I went out of my way to single out Arsenal's mid-season slump actually being worse than the one that they had at the start of the season. Some may have found that conclusion counter intuitive given the prevailing narrative about Arsenal's season. If so, my goal was accomplished. If not, then kudos to the reader because they're already let numbers be one of the ways they form their perceptions of the club.
"No matter what the odds say, the last eight matches of the season will provide for some compelling soccer. Will Manchester City win their first ever Premier League title or will United fend off yet another challenge to their long-term supremacy within the league? Which of the two bitter North London rivals will gain automatic entry to the Premier League? Will Chelsea be able to slip into Champions League qualification, or might they even fall out of the Europa League qualifying spot? Might they even pull off the unlikely feat of winning the Champions League, thus fulfilling one of Abramovich's long held goals and denying the fourth table position entry into the competition? Will Liverpool stumble to their worst finish since the 1993/94 season? Only the final eight matches will tell. It's going to be an exciting end to the season!"