On Forbes - Soccernomics and Wisdom of Crowds Predictions for Men's Olympic Soccer

A week ago I posted my predictions for the likely outcome of the group play stage of the men's Olympic soccer tournament. The overall predictions were based upon a compilation of the Soccernomics model as well as four other sources across the soccer writing community. The result was a "wisdom of crowds approach that got six out of the eight quarterfinalists correct, as none of the sources used foresaw Uruguay's and Spain's failures to make it through to the knockout stages. I'll return to this topic at the conclusion of the tournament to provide a numerical look at which teams over and underachieved versus expectations.

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